Financial Report Insights

World risk monitor

Severe natural disasters, significant earthquakes, disease outbreaks and ship traffic through the world's maritime chokepoints on one map. Each layer refreshes from its official source every 10–60 minutes; how current the underlying data is depends on the source (listed at the bottom).

3
Active orange/red disasters
GDACS alerts, ongoing now
1
Magnitude 6+ earthquakes
last 7 days (USGS)
5
Outbreaks in WHO notices
last 120 days
7 of 28
Chokepoints with fewer ships
10%+ below a year ago, week to 2026-09-20

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move, hover or tap a marker for details.

  • Disasters & earthquakes:
  • Red alert (severe)
  • Orange alert
  • Yellow alert
  • Minor / no alert
  • Outline = ended in last 30 days
  • Chokepoints (ships vs a year ago):
  • Down 25%+
  • Down 10–25%
  • Within ±10%
  • Up 10%+
  • Shapes:
  • Disasters
  • Earthquakes
  • Outbreaks
  • Shipping chokepoints

Why markets care: companies in the path

For the events above that have a well-established link to business results, how the effect usually travels and which companies we cover sit on that path. This describes exposure, not a forecast: how much an event matters depends on how long it lasts, and each company's latest analysis has the detail.

  • Kerch StraitTraffic down 25%+ships -100% vs a year ago

    Connects the Sea of Azov to the Black Sea, a route for Russian and Ukrainian grain and fertilizer.

    Grain traders and processors:
    ADMBG
    Fertilizer makers (global supply and prices):
    CFMOS
  • Strait of HormuzTraffic down 25%+ships -96% vs a year ago

    Most of the oil and liquefied gas exported from the Persian Gulf (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Iran) leaves through this strait; the US Energy Information Administration puts the oil flow at about a fifth of world consumption. Less traffic here tends to push oil and fuel prices up.

    Oil producers (higher prices lift revenue):
    XOMCVXCOPOXY
    Refiners (crude supply and cost):
    VLOMPCPSX
    Airlines (jet fuel cost):
    DALUALAALLUV
  • Bosporus StraitTraffic down 25%+ships -36% vs a year ago

    The only sea exit from the Black Sea: the route for grain from Ukraine and Russia, Russian fertilizer, and oil from Russia and Kazakhstan.

    Grain traders and processors:
    ADMBG
    Fertilizer makers (global supply and prices):
    CFMOS
  • Bab el-Mandeb StraitTraffic down 25%+ships -30% vs a year ago

    The southern gate of the Red Sea, on the Asia–Europe route through the Suez Canal. Ships that avoid it sail around Africa's Cape of Good Hope instead, which adds one to two weeks and raises freight rates.

    Freight and logistics:
    FDXUPSEXPDCHRW
    Retailers that import by sea (freight costs, delivery times):
    WMTTGTHDNKE
  • Panama CanalTraffic down 10–25%ships -20% vs a year ago

    Links US Gulf and East Coast ports with Asia. Low water or transit limits push US grain and gas exports and container ships onto longer routes.

    Grain traders and processors:
    ADMBG
    Freight and logistics:
    FDXUPSEXPDCHRW
  • Hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel

    Outbreaks linked to cruise ships can bring port restrictions and cancellations and weigh on bookings.

    Cruise lines:
    CCLRCLNCLH

Less obvious signals that reach company results

Events that don't look financial at first — a solar storm, a river running low, a software flaw under attack, a product recall — but have a known route into revenue or costs. Each card says what the route is and, when the signal is live, which companies we cover sit on it.

Software flaws under active attack

Watch

19 actively exploited flaws added in the last 14 days, including products from MSFT, ADBE, FFIV, GOOGL, CSCO.

CISA, the US cyber-defence agency, lists flaws it has evidence attackers are already exploiting and orders federal agencies to patch them. A flaw in a widely used product means emergency patching for its customers and scrutiny for the vendor; this is also the threat security-software companies sell protection against.

Vendors of affected products:
MSFTADBEFFIVGOOGLCSCO
Security software:
CRWDPANWFTNT

CISA Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog · checked 22:46 UTC · delay same day

Serious product recalls (FDA Class I)

Watch

81 Class I recalls in FDA reports over the last 45 days; 5 from companies we cover (BAX, BSX).

Class I is the FDA's most serious recall category: a product that could cause serious injury or death. For the maker it means replacement or refund costs, sometimes paused sales, and a risk of lawsuits; a recall is often disclosed later as a one-off charge in results.

  • Baxter Healthcare Corporation: Dextrose Injection, USP, 70 %, 2000 mL bags, Rx Only, Baxter Healthcare Corporation Deerfi…BAXDrug · reported 2026-09-16 · Presence of Particulate Matter: particulate matter identified as stainless steel particles in the solution.
  • Baxter Healthcare Corporation: 0.9% Sodium Chloride Injection USP 500 mL, VIAFLEX Plastic Containers, with 24 units per c…BAXDrug · reported 2026-09-09 · Presence of particulate matter: Particulates identified as fiberglass
  • Boston Scientific Corporation: Boston Scientific ENROUTE Transcarotid Neuroprotection System Plus, Material Number SR-250…BSXMedical device · reported 2026-08-26 · Potential for arterial sheath tip separation or partial tip separation during use.
  • Baxter Healthcare Corporation: Baxter Duo-Vent Solution Set and Male Luer Lock Adapter, Product Code 1C8507; Solution Adm…BAXMedical device · reported 2026-08-19 · Baxter received customer reports of air bubbles in the drip chamber and tubing when a pressure cuff is in use or when the tubing is flushed …
  • Baxter Healthcare Corporation: Cefazolin in Dextrose, Injection, USP, 2g / 100mL (20mg / mL) Single-Dose Infusion Bag in …BAXDrug · reported 2026-08-19 · Presence of Particulate Matter
Companies with a Class I recall:
BAXBSX

U.S. FDA enforcement reports (openFDA) · checked 22:46 UTC · delay about a week (weekly enforcement reports)

Severe US weather warnings

Normal

None of the watched warning types (hurricane, extreme heat, winter storm, California fire weather) is active.

Watched here: hurricane, extreme heat, winter storm and California fire-weather warnings, each of which has a known route into company results (insurance claims, power prices, flight cancellations, utility liabilities).

U.S. National Weather Service alerts · checked 23:16 UTC · delay minutes

Space weather (geomagnetic storms)

Normal

Quiet: no geomagnetic storm now or forecast for the next three days.

Strong solar storms induce currents in long power lines and disturb satellites, GPS and polar-route aircraft radio. At NOAA's G3 level and above, grid operators may need to correct voltages, satellite navigation can drop out, and airlines can reroute polar flights.

  • 2026-09-28No storm forecast
  • 2026-09-29No storm forecast
  • 2026-09-30No storm forecast

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center · checked 23:16 UTC · delay minutes

Mississippi River (Memphis)

Normal

Flow 491k cubic feet per second, above the median for this date (223k).

Most US corn and soybean exports travel by barge down the Mississippi to Gulf ports. In low water barges must carry lighter loads or wait, which raises shipping costs for grain companies; very high water can close stretches of the river.

  • Now491k ft³/s
  • Median for this date223k ft³/s
  • Low-water line (10th percentile)139k ft³/s

USGS Water Services (gauge 07032000) · checked 23:16 UTC · delay about an hour

Shipping chokepoints: traffic vs a year ago

Average ships passing each day over the latest week in IMF PortWatch's satellite ship-tracking data, against the same week a year earlier. A sustained drop usually means ships are avoiding the route (conflict, drought, canal restrictions) and taking longer ones, which raises freight costs and delivery times.

ChokepointShips / dayA year agoChangeLast 12 weeks
Kerch Strait
Traffic down 25%+
024-100%
Strait of Hormuz
Traffic down 25%+
386-96%
Bosporus Strait
Traffic down 25%+
5484-36%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait
Traffic down 25%+
2535-30%
Oresund Strait
Traffic down 10–25%
3851-25%
Ombai Strait
Traffic down 10–25%
810-21%
Panama Canal
Traffic down 10–25%
2633-20%
Malacca Strait
Traffic near normal
230253-9%
Taiwan Strait
Traffic near normal
223244-9%
Torres Strait
Traffic near normal
88-8%
Windward Passage
Traffic near normal
1516-7%
Cape of Good Hope
Traffic near normal
8995-7%
Gibraltar Strait
Traffic near normal
128136-6%
Dover Strait
Traffic near normal
163171-5%
Yucatan Channel
Traffic near normal
5052-2%
Korea Strait
Traffic near normal
226230-2%
Bohai Strait
Traffic near normal
160163-2%
Suez Canal
Traffic near normal
4241+1%
Sunda Strait
Traffic near normal
3432+7%
Balabac Strait
Traffic up 10%+
98+10%
Tsugaru Strait
Traffic up 10%+
5952+14%
Lombok Strait
Traffic up 10%+
4136+14%
Makassar Strait
Traffic up 10%+
5950+17%
Magellan Strait
Traffic up 10%+
64+30%
Bering Strait
Traffic up 10%+
43+40%
Luzon Strait
Traffic up 10%+
9970+42%
Mindoro Strait
Traffic up 10%+
5235+50%
Mona Passage
Traffic up 10%+
127+67%

Severe disasters (orange and red alerts, last 30 days)

GDACS rates each cyclone, flood, drought, volcano and wildfire by its likely humanitarian impact: red means international help is likely needed, orange a significant regional event.

EventWhereLevelWhen
Flood in NepalNepalRed alert
ended
Aug 26, 2026 – Sep 1, 2026
Tropical Cyclone POLO-26
Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h)
MexicoOrange alertSep 21, 2026 – Sep 28, 2026
Flood in IndiaIndiaOrange alertAug 9, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Flood in ChinaChinaOrange alertJul 31, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Tropical Cyclone ONE-26
Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 83 km/h)
IndiaOrange alert
ended
Sep 22, 2026 – Sep 24, 2026
Eruption KrakatauIndonesiaOrange alert
ended
Sep 4, 2026
Tropical Cyclone SAUDEL-26
Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 213 km/h)
Japan, China, Northern Mariana IslandsOrange alert
ended
Aug 18, 2026 – Sep 3, 2026
Drought in Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda
Medium impact for agricultural drought in 196893 km2
Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Tanzania, UgandaOrange alert
ended
May 21, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026
Drought in The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El Salvador
Medium impact for agricultural drought in 677277 km2
The Bahamas, Belize, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Guatemala, Honduras, Haiti, Mexico, Nicaragua, El SalvadorOrange alert
ended
Apr 21, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026
Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda
Medium impact for agricultural drought in 752713 km2
Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, UgandaOrange alert
ended
Apr 21, 2026 – Sep 26, 2026
Drought in Austria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croatia, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Sweden, Slovenia, Slovakia, San Marino, Ukraine,
Medium impact for agricultural drought in 1264372 km2
Austria, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Belgium, Belarus, Switzerland, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Spain, France, Croatia, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Serbia, Sweden, Slovenia, Slovakia, San Marino, Ukraine,Orange alert
ended
Dec 21, 2025 – Sep 26, 2026
Drought in Madagascar
Medium impact for agricultural drought in 97655 km2
MadagascarOrange alert
ended
Nov 21, 2025 – Sep 26, 2026

Significant earthquakes

Magnitude 6 and above in the last 30 days, any quake with a USGS PAGER impact alert, and magnitude 5.5 and above in the last week.

EventWhereLevelWhen
M5.6 earthquake
Magnitude 5.6, depth 58 km, USGS PAGER green alert
74 km ESE of Kokopo, Papua New GuineaGreen alert26 Sep 2026 14:08 UTC
M5.5 earthquake
Magnitude 5.5, depth 10 km, USGS PAGER green alert
61 km ENE of Tadine, New CaledoniaGreen alert25 Sep 2026 23:39 UTC
M6.6 earthquake
Magnitude 6.6, depth 10 km, USGS PAGER green alert
80 km ENE of Tadine, New CaledoniaGreen alert25 Sep 2026 21:23 UTC
M5.7 earthquake
Magnitude 5.7, depth 10 km, USGS PAGER green alert
180 km NW of Hihifo, TongaGreen alert23 Sep 2026 14:41 UTC
M6.4 earthquake
Magnitude 6.4, depth 104 km, USGS PAGER green alert
49 km NNE of Kainantu, Papua New GuineaGreen alert
ended
20 Sep 2026 09:17 UTC
M6.5 earthquake
Magnitude 6.5, depth 98 km, tsunami bulletin issued, USGS PAGER green alert
177 km W of Nikolski, AlaskaGreen alert
ended
17 Sep 2026 14:19 UTC
M6.5 earthquake
Magnitude 6.5, depth 372 km, USGS PAGER green alert
126 km NNE of Teluknaga, IndonesiaGreen alert
ended
11 Sep 2026 21:23 UTC
M5.5 earthquake
Magnitude 5.5, depth 10 km, USGS PAGER orange alert
17 km WNW of Jiangyou, ChinaOrange alert
ended
03 Sep 2026 11:39 UTC
M6.3 earthquake
Magnitude 6.3, depth 21 km, tsunami bulletin issued, USGS PAGER green alert
89 km SSW of Nikolski, AlaskaGreen alert
ended
03 Sep 2026 11:17 UTC
M6.2 earthquake
Magnitude 6.2, depth 111 km, USGS PAGER green alert
South Sandwich Islands regionGreen alert
ended
02 Sep 2026 23:46 UTC

Disease outbreaks reported by WHO

Events WHO has published a Disease Outbreak News notice on in the last 120 days, one row per disease and country, dated by the latest notice.

EventWhereLevelWhen
Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus
Latest WHO notice 2026-09-25
Democratic Republic of the CongoWHO notice Sep 25, 2026
Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus
Latest WHO notice 2026-07-17
UgandaWHO notice Jul 17, 2026
Hantavirus outbreak linked to cruise ship travel
Latest WHO notice 2026-07-02
Multiple locationsWHO notice Jul 2, 2026
Nipah virus disease
Latest WHO notice 2026-06-25
IndiaWHO notice Jun 25, 2026
Yellow fever
Latest WHO notice 2026-06-24
GlobalWHO notice Jun 24, 2026

Sources and freshness

Figures are shown as each source publishes them. For information only; not investment advice. See also the global economy dashboard.